Ebola: Modeling Update
#EbolaWatch: How do we prevent the likelihood of getting here?
Originally posted on Mens et Manus:
A few weeks ago, I started working with David Fisman’s IDEA method for short-term outbreak forecasting. In addition to approximating R0, the method allows us to assess how effective control efforts have been (d) at curbing growth in a given outbreak. (I personally think this is the coolest…